Will it
graduate?
Call it before the curve does.
Every new Pons token gets its own 24-hour YES/NO market: does the bonding curve hit 4.2 ETH before the clock runs out? Stake $GRAD. The chain settles it, not us.
- Window
- 24h
- Threshold
- 4.2 Ξ
- Settles from
- On-chain
Reading new launches from Robinhood Chain…
Pons launches · 24h
Graduated · 24h
Grad rate
Latest block read
ETH-paired Pons V2 launches · read from Robinhood Chain RPC
01How it works
One question per launch. Graduate or not.
A token launches on Pons
The Pons V2 factory emits TokenLaunched. GradBet opens a market for it automatically. Nobody has to create it by hand.
A 24h clock starts
The question: will the bonding curve raise its graduation threshold (default 4.2 ETH) within 24 hours? Stake $GRAD on YES or NO.
The curve fills, or doesn't
Progress is read straight from the curve as realQuoteReserve ÷ graduationThreshold, the same on-chain number for everyone.
The chain settles it
LaunchSwept or PoolGraduated within 24h means YES wins. No event by the deadline means NO wins. Winners split the losing side.
The chain is the oracle
No admin decides who won. Settlement reads Pons factory events on Robinhood Chain, which anyone can check on Blockscout.
Graduation is rare. That's the game.
In recent Pons V2 data, only about 1 in 100 launches graduated within a day. Spotting the one that will is the edge.
02Live markets
Real launches.
Right now.
The three live launches closest to graduation right now, read from chain. Odds on the cards are simulated.
03$GRAD token
Fair launch on Pons. Like everyone else.
$GRAD launches as a normal fixed-supply Pons token, with no custom contract and no hidden mint. The whole supply sits on the Pons bonding curve. And yes, $GRAD gets its own market: will GradBet graduate?
Total supply (suggested)
1,000,000,000
- ● Pons bonding curve (public, fair launch)100%
- Team / VC / presale0%
- Rewards poolfrom fees, not minting
Suggestion only, final numbers set at launch per the Pons V2 launch config. CA: Coming soon.
Stake on markets
Every YES/NO position is staked in $GRAD. No $GRAD, no position.
Winners take the losing side
Losing stakes go to the winners pro-rata. A 3% fee comes off the losing pool.
Fee share
Of the 3%: 1% to $GRAD stakers, 1% to the market creator, 1% to treasury / buyback.
Market-creator rewards
Later, anyone can open custom markets ('hit $X mcap', 'rug in 1h') and earn 1% of the losing pool.
04Roadmap
From demo to degree.
Demo web
- ▲Real Pons V2 launches read live from Robinhood Chain RPC
- ▲Graduation progress + 24h countdown per launch
- ▲Simulated odds & demo staking (localStorage)
- ▲$GRAD fair launch on Pons
On-chain markets
- ▲Market contract on Robinhood Chain (parimutuel YES/NO pools)
- ▲Permissionless settle() that reads Pons factory state
- ▲Audit before real funds
- ▲Stake-to-earn fee share vault
More market types
- ▲'Hits $X market cap in N hours'
- ▲'Rug in 1h?' (dev dumps / liquidity events)
- ▲User-created markets with creator rewards
- ▲Leaderboard & seasons